Modi better than Trump; India will outperform US over 5-10 years:
Marc Faber
India, according to PwC, in 20-30 years will become a second largest economy in the world similar to China
On a day when market scaled record high on Tuesday,
Marc Faber cemented bullish sentiment further by saying that India will
continue to outperform the US and other western markets,
The editor and publisher of
The Gloom, Boom, and Doom Report said that India has got a new
government with (Prime Minister) Narendra Modi leading the charge from
the front, has much better chance of implementing reforms than say US
President, Donald Trump.
Commenting on the economy he said that
central banks in emerging economies (EMs) such as India are much more
responsible and educated about perils of money printing. RBI’s former
governor Raghuram Rajan & present governor Urjit Patel have done a
good job in stabilising the rupee.
Indian market is up 13 percent
in local currency and in dollar terms, the market is up close to 18
percent led by a rise in the rupee. The currency is very important for
foreign investors. A strong currency can pull foreign investors towards
India, he said.
“I remain constructive on India and over the next
10-20 years, India has the potential to grow at 5-7 percent each year –
which is huge compared to growth rate seen in the US or Europe,” said
Faber.
India, according to PwC, in 20-30 years will become a second largest economy in the world similar to China.
He also
highlighted that only marginal amount of domestic saving find its way to
Indian equity markets
The wealthy families should at least put
20 percent of the money in Indian equities or Indian properties and
direct investment because it is time to look forward.
Today, US
stock market is 53 percent of the global stock market capitalisation now. But, in 10-20 years, it will be reduced to 20 percent and India and
China will hog lion share up to 50 percent, highlights Faber.
You have repeatedly told us that you see more value in emerging markets
compared to developed markets. But this has been your theory for a
while now. Do you think that the story has played out or do you think
that markets like India still have more stea
maintained more than a year ago that over the next 5-10 years, India
would outperform the US and other western markets. I think it is still a
valid story. In general, you have a new government, Mr Modi who is
trying hard to implement some reforms and he has actually a far better
chance to implement these reforms than Mr Trump.
Secondly, this is
something that is very interesting for me as an observer of economic
history. I think central banks in emerging economies such as India, as
an example, are much more responsible and much better educated about the
perils of money printing. Mr Rajan and Mr Patel have done a very good
job so far in stabilising the rupee. In local currency, the Indian
market is up something like 13 percent this year.
But in dollar
terms, the market is up close to 18 percent because first the stock
market went up then the rupee went up. The stock market is not that
important for the majority of Indians because it is only a minority that
owns Indian shares.
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